Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.054868 0.064027 0.074223 0.086414 0.100594 0.116569 0.135938
2025-10-19 0.040526 0.052440 0.067103 0.086472 0.111390 0.142386 0.183905
2025-10-26 0.032611 0.045670 0.063023 0.087758 0.122127 0.168227 0.234854
2025-11-02 0.027764 0.041490 0.060915 0.090390 0.134009 0.196245 0.291967
2025-11-09 0.022764 0.035987 0.055747 0.087398 0.136862 0.211308 0.332131
2025-11-16 0.019579 0.032545 0.052883 0.087069 0.143150 0.231661 0.382343
2025-11-23 0.016957 0.029506 0.050080 0.086215 0.148175 0.250279 0.431834
2025-11-30 0.015275 0.027724 0.048985 0.087870 0.157317 0.276403 0.496808
2025-12-07 0.013457 0.025412 0.046621 0.086914 0.161672 0.294729 0.550397
2025-12-14 0.011728 0.022989 0.043703 0.084489 0.162936 0.307547 0.595415
2025-12-21 0.010265 0.020848 0.040994 0.082032 0.163706 0.319359 0.639768
2025-12-28 0.009524 0.020005 0.040612 0.083967 0.173085 0.348358 0.720779
2026-01-04 0.008697 0.018893 0.039602 0.084595 0.180115 0.373982 0.799164
2026-01-11 0.007930 0.017800 0.038488 0.084868 0.186472 0.399087 0.879962
2026-01-18 0.007344 0.017013 0.037905 0.086174 0.195161 0.430027 0.977182
2026-01-25 0.006924 0.016534 0.037914 0.088767 0.206973 0.469008 1.097077
2026-02-01 0.006140 0.015103 0.035622 0.085830 0.205898 0.479508 1.153800
2026-02-08 0.005627 0.014243 0.034518 0.085506 0.210822 0.504079 1.246393
2026-02-15 0.005137 0.013372 0.033273 0.084668 0.214385 0.525878 1.335107
2026-02-22 0.004842 0.012946 0.033043 0.086293 0.224183 0.563643 1.467904
2026-03-01 0.004435 0.012175 0.031863 0.085355 0.227392 0.585690 1.563842
2026-03-08 0.003999 0.011266 0.030212 0.082973 0.226557 0.597498 1.634778
2026-03-15 0.003608 0.010423 0.028628 0.080560 0.225324 0.608123 1.703961